Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 9.120348 10.241614 11.518531 13.096456 15.016843 17.308994 20.300211
2024-12-22 7.355134 8.763987 10.523845 12.943879 16.289013 20.925109 28.194945
2024-12-29 6.583159 8.166736 10.276906 13.417683 18.220072 25.789856 39.951333
2025-01-05 5.769656 7.337254 9.512551 12.921998 18.509175 28.187175 49.061565
2025-01-12 5.130814 6.643861 8.807277 12.333821 18.436847 29.866955 57.875062
2025-01-19 4.674652 6.148248 8.310943 11.961763 18.604445 32.013746 69.514980
2025-01-26 4.378331 5.848804 8.064442 11.941817 19.381994 35.705497 89.273184
2025-02-02 4.336061 5.918133 8.391213 12.948730 22.415542 46.117735 149.945963
2025-02-09 4.218064 5.855413 8.491175 13.559157 24.826226 56.686313 248.398371
2025-02-16 4.018394 5.643421 8.313107 13.602932 25.962922 64.389368 375.143347
2025-02-23 3.906913 5.562542 8.349134 14.075672 28.316486 78.563473 744.976049
2025-03-02 3.669681 5.255798 7.953659 13.587932 28.001050 82.031884 1047.130418
2025-03-09 3.477173 5.029180 7.715764 13.481239 28.967361 93.755132 2454.489793
2025-03-16 3.292937 4.806717 7.470905 13.339457 29.879184 107.541057 10212.606430
2025-03-23 3.203209 4.737783 7.504022 13.836096 33.040479 142.323173 NaN
2025-03-30 3.010801 4.474612 7.136543 13.317623 32.598359 151.410955 NaN
2025-04-06 2.826167 4.213724 6.751900 12.702895 31.627038 155.055283 NaN
2025-04-13 2.681086 4.014659 6.473479 12.314360 31.385454 166.263119 NaN
2025-04-20 2.585064 3.897464 6.348040 12.293537 32.568589 197.842646 NaN
2025-04-27 2.594919 3.971763 6.615927 13.345579 38.777836 345.020467 NaN
2025-05-04 2.563379 3.967111 6.719605 13.984232 43.792269 573.889045 NaN
2025-05-11 2.486330 3.871881 6.620952 14.030056 45.964711 798.986529 NaN
2025-05-18 2.447218 3.846008 6.670210 14.525129 51.080156 1548.895407 NaN